Current Valuations Remain Attractive
By Imaru Casanova, Deputy Portfolio Manager & Senior Gold Analyst
Looking at historical valuation levels (see illustration below), we see that stocks are currently trading at multiples that are below the long-term average, and well below the multiples reached during the peak of the last bull market.
Historic Price-to-Cash Flow of Gold Majors and Mid-Tiers
Source: RBC Capital Markets. Data as of March 17, 2017
Following the bull market, the gold sector has transformed itself into a healthy, cash flow generating business, offering attractive returns. A re-rating of the entire sector to reflect this transformation is justifiable in our view. Companies need to continue to demonstrate that they are deserving of the premium valuation multiples they have historically enjoyed. The formula, although complex, is not too complicated: Increase the potential and ability to develop gold deposits into profitable and sustainable mines while reducing the risks associated with those developments, and these companies should enjoy a re-rating by the market.
About the Author:
Imaru Casanova holds an appointment as senior gold analyst at VanEck. Mrs. Casanova is a proven expert on gold and gold mining and has been quoted, inter alia, in Barron’s, USA Today, Investor’s Business Daily and has appeared on CNBC.
The article above is an opinion of the author and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of MV Index Solutions or its affiliates.